Democrats vs republicans who is winning

Democratic candidates received almost 10 million more votes than Republican candidates, a margin of 8. It was, in short, a spectacular year for House Democrats.

With President Trump at the top of the ticket, Republican turnout for House races was bound to increase significantly over the depressed levels of Although Democrats increased their total House votes by an estimated Given these results, Democrats did well to hold their seat loss to The second explanation for the House results is even more straightforward. The total vote cast for Republican House candidates in was 1. This down-ballot shortfall made it harder for Democrats to win closely contested contests.

To understand the difference this Democratic disadvantage can make, compare the presidential and House results in five critical swing states. In all five states, House Democrats ran well behind Joe Biden. By contrast, House Republicans ran ahead of President Trump in three of the five, and their shortfall was less than the Democrats in the remaining two. They have been held up by months of infighting between progressive and moderate Democrats. Youngkin, 54, declared victory after a campaign in which he focused on parents' anger over schools' handling of COVID, as well as teaching on race and gender issues.

He walked a fine line on Trump, taking care not to alienate the former president's hardcore base and not offering a full-throated endorsement of his false claims about widespread election fraud. McAuliffe's efforts to paint his rival, a former chief executive of the Carlyle Group Inc , as a Trump acolyte fell flat with voters. Republican congressional campaigns may follow Youngkin's model of focusing on culture wars and promising to give parents more control over public schools.

Youngkin and other Republicans latched onto concerns from parents that schools are teaching left-wing ideas to combat racism, at the expense of more traditional subjects.

He vowed to ban the teaching of "critical race theory," a legal framework that examines how racism shapes U. Republicans also appeared to erase the Democrats' seat lead in Virginia's House of Delegates, appearing to gain a split or perhaps a one-seat advantage. Virginia Republicans picked Youngkin in an unusual convention format in May, rather than by a statewide primary.

When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. See generic ballot estimates for the election cycle and election cycle. Design and development by Aaron Bycoffe. Statistical model by Nate Silver. Research by Mary Radcliffe. Story edited by Sarah Frostenson. Copy edited by Jennifer Mason. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email. Download this data: polls , trend lines.